Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.008133 0.009125 0.010211 0.011491 0.012964 0.014611 0.016597
2025-05-11 0.006601 0.007945 0.009544 0.011600 0.014196 0.017393 0.021669
2025-05-18 0.005659 0.007127 0.008969 0.011479 0.014855 0.019301 0.025706
2025-05-25 0.005077 0.006631 0.008668 0.011579 0.015707 0.021464 0.030307
2025-06-01 0.004563 0.006141 0.008286 0.011477 0.016208 0.023142 0.034413
2025-06-08 0.004062 0.005604 0.007764 0.011086 0.016206 0.024035 0.037406
2025-06-15 0.003767 0.005322 0.007563 0.011125 0.016823 0.025914 0.042228
2025-06-22 0.003612 0.005222 0.007611 0.011532 0.018047 0.028897 0.049395
2025-06-29 0.003327 0.004900 0.007288 0.011312 0.018207 0.030105 0.053570
2025-07-06 0.003071 0.004600 0.006970 0.011061 0.018272 0.031136 0.057555
2025-07-13 0.002893 0.004407 0.006802 0.011037 0.018721 0.032902 0.063274
2025-07-20 0.002795 0.004332 0.006818 0.011327 0.019762 0.035904 0.072089
2025-07-27 0.002634 0.004151 0.006655 0.011310 0.020279 0.038063 0.079768
2025-08-03 0.002504 0.004012 0.006555 0.011400 0.021025 0.040829 0.089527
2025-08-10 0.002354 0.003827 0.006356 0.011282 0.021336 0.042714 0.097594
2025-08-17 0.002251 0.003715 0.006276 0.011380 0.022097 0.045695 0.109139
2025-08-24 0.002129 0.003560 0.006105 0.011280 0.022422 0.047739 0.118713
2025-08-31 0.001980 0.003345 0.005808 0.010897 0.022085 0.048174 0.123926
2025-09-07 0.001897 0.003247 0.005720 0.010935 0.022689 0.050983 0.136783
2025-09-14 0.001865 0.003238 0.005803 0.011334 0.024173 0.056255 0.158715
2025-09-21 0.001763 0.003093 0.005607 0.011119 0.024177 0.057684 0.168749
2025-09-28 0.001666 0.002949 0.005406 0.010872 0.024077 0.058818 0.178144
2025-10-05 0.001599 0.002861 0.005309 0.010849 0.024526 0.061556 0.194062